The onset of Southwest Monsoon 2017 over Kerala is likely to be on May 30, with a model error of 4 days, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday.
The forecasts of the monsoon onset issued during the past 12 years (2005-2016) were proved to be correct for all years except 2015.
The statement, issued by the IMD office here, said that the onset of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala signals the arrival of monsoon over the Indian subcontinent and beginning of rainy season over the region.
The date of the normal monsoon onset over Kerala is June 1 and since 2005, the IMD started to issue operational forecasts for the date of monsoon onset over Kerala.
“Now, conditions are favorable over the Bay of Bengal and based on IMD’s forecast, the onset of southwest monsoon in Kerala is likely on May 30, give or take four days,” said IMD director S Sudevan.
Earlier, it was reported that monsoon was likely to arrive on May 25.